The EU has not yet decided whether to grant market access for U. The lack of clarity has already prompted some banks to move offices and staff to mainland Europe.
Fishing has also been a continuous sticking point during negotiations with the EU keen to maintain access for fishing fleets and the U. A no-deal scenario could see EU access to U.
There are concerns that some fishing fleets could ignore any restrictions, leading to potential clashes. These are not unheard of; there have been physical skirmishes, dubbed the "Scallop wars," between British and French fishing fleets in recent years amid disputes over fishing.
Travel is one area that concerns many people in the U. The EU has already published contingency measures covering the aviation and road haulage industry in case there is no deal.
The measures seek to ensure "basic air connectivity It also proposes regulation covering basic connectivity with regard to both road freight, and road passenger transport for 6 months, again provided it is reciprocated by the U.
With the UK also imposing tariffs on some EU goods - they could become more expensive. But the price of some things imported from the rest of the world could fall because their tariffs are being cut. Food standards for UK exports could also be a problem.
Without agreement that UK rules are acceptable in the EU, produce being sold by the UK could be stopped at the border, causing delays.
Long queues for lorries are possible because there would be more border checks. But it is feared EU lorry drivers might want to avoid the UK altogether if there are long delays. Less choice of food is a danger, according to some supermarket chains, who have said fresh food will be particularly affected. They might try to fly replacements in from elsewhere, but that would increase costs. Northern Ireland has been the subject of separate talks on how an agreement to avoid a hard border would work.
An agreement has been reached 'in principle', but a free trade deal would make new arrangements easier. But across the UK it's not just trade that would be affected by no deal, as further details were expected in other areas.
Fishing has been particularly important during the trade talks. Without a deal, non-UK fishing boats would lose access to UK waters and vice versa. Police, spies and even government ministers have been warning for years that no-deal Brexit will cut off the UK from many key tools used to fight international crime. Britain needs to negotiate a new security treaty with the EU to maintain access to bodies such as Europol, powers including the European Arrest Warrant and vital policing and intelligence databases.
Senior police officers have warned that the loss of EU tools could create a public safety risk by allowing suspects to abscond and making it harder to extradite foreign nationals. The plan would allow Brussels to trust that goods entering NI which might later cross the porous frontier into the Republic met its standards. Into this fraught situation Mr Johnson has introduced his internal market bill , which seeks to allow goods to be traded on even terms between all four UK nations.
However, the controversial measure would allow ministers to rewrite the rules previously enshrined in the withdrawal agreement, including on the movement of goods in Northern Ireland. It could mean that the EU feels it necessary to implement checks on the Irish land border — the very scenario the protocol was designed to prevent. Jesper Cullen, an analyst at the Risk Advisory Group, warned last year of a rise in general tension across the UK in the event of a no-deal exit.
Others have warned of that potentially big cuts to local services could increase tensions. Will the Northern Ireland situation jeopardise a trade deal with the US? Both the Trump administration and Joe Biden have expressed concerns over the internal market bill. What about the impact on the economy? Northern Ireland The Northern Ireland protocol, which mandates that the region follows EU rules on customs and standards, kicks in deal or no deal. Fishing The UK would have control over its waters and would be entitled to block access from EU fishing vessels.
Why are fish a sticking point in the Brexit talks? Read more. Roadside portable loos planned for lorry drivers delayed by Brexit checks. Topics Brexit European Union Foreign policy explainers.
0コメント